SABI's chance of Yes: 49%
OriginalsEarthquakesWorld
Will an earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or more strike anywhere in the world between 16 November and 22 November?
Timeline
- Asked
- 14 Nov, 00:00 UTC
- Bets close
- 15 Nov, 23:00 UTC
- Settles
- 23 Nov, 00:00 UTC
How it settles
- Yes
- The USGS earthquake catalogue, read 72 hours after the end of 2026-11-22 (UTC), lists at least one event of type earthquake, anywhere in the world, with a magnitude of 6.5 or more as the catalogue lists it and an origin time from 2026-11-16 00:00:00 to 2026-11-22 23:59:59 UTC.
- No
- The USGS earthquake catalogue, read 72 hours after the end of 2026-11-22 (UTC), lists no such earthquake. Revisions after that reading do not change the answer.
- Void
- Void if the USGS catalogue cannot be read by the resolution deadline. Missing data is never read as No.
- Source
- United States Geological Survey
More SABI Originals
- Will the Tijuana gauge record a wind gust of at least 45 km/h on 14 November?51%
- Will a US dollar cost at least ₦1347 at 20:00 (Lagos, WAT) on 14 November?8%
- Will the Ado-Ekiti gauge record a wind gust of at least 30 km/h on 15 November?48%
- Will the Benin City gauge record at least 1.0 mm of rain on 15 November?32%